Great piece Shane. Really compelling argument, the best z I've seen on this issue. I wouldn't entirely agree that those who focus on immigration, in light of this evidence, must be racist. I think it's slightly more nuanced than that. But only slightly mind you
That’s only because you are kinder than I! All joking aside though, no I agree and I didn’t mean to imply that those who focus on immigration are racist per se. There are definitely very interesting areas related to immigration that necessarily require a focus on it, for example cultural mingling / change (as you touched upon in your latest article).
P.s. i note you draw on CSO 2016 data re migratiin and tenure status. I haven't seen any one use the 2022 yet. Would be interesting to see what change, if any, there has been
Indeed it is almost 10 years outdated now (which someone could say weakens my argument), however this data just doesn’t seem to have been made publicly available for the 2022 census (or at least I can’t see it). For example, that table (E1073) only has census years 2011 and 2016. It is a massive gap, given that if the same data was to be published for the next census in 2027 (which would see publication in 2028ish), that would be a 12 year gap.
This is backed up by the stats on housing from the annual ESRI Integration Report. Haven't seen the one for this year yet, but it suggests that only a very tiny proportion of migrants get social housing, less than 31% ever buy, and they are very likely driving the drop in ownership overall. The last available report suggested migrants from the data set (I think its from the living in Ireland data) suggested levels of ownership between 25-52%. The figure for Irish in same data was 77 ownership, 13% PRS renting and social renting 9.2%. Comparable figures for PRS renting were 65-70% for non EU, and EU East, while ownership in these cohorts was 25-28%. Social rentals for non EU and EU East are barely half Irish level - around 5%. Only UK had similar patterns to Irish in terms of tenure. And yes, absolutely, more than half current homeless figures are non Irish and have been overrepresented for a very long time.
Great piece Shane. Really compelling argument, the best z I've seen on this issue. I wouldn't entirely agree that those who focus on immigration, in light of this evidence, must be racist. I think it's slightly more nuanced than that. But only slightly mind you
That’s only because you are kinder than I! All joking aside though, no I agree and I didn’t mean to imply that those who focus on immigration are racist per se. There are definitely very interesting areas related to immigration that necessarily require a focus on it, for example cultural mingling / change (as you touched upon in your latest article).
P.s. i note you draw on CSO 2016 data re migratiin and tenure status. I haven't seen any one use the 2022 yet. Would be interesting to see what change, if any, there has been
Indeed it is almost 10 years outdated now (which someone could say weakens my argument), however this data just doesn’t seem to have been made publicly available for the 2022 census (or at least I can’t see it). For example, that table (E1073) only has census years 2011 and 2016. It is a massive gap, given that if the same data was to be published for the next census in 2027 (which would see publication in 2028ish), that would be a 12 year gap.
These posts actively de-rot my brain on the tube 🙌🏻
Thank you Raicheal! Glad you enjoy them.
This is backed up by the stats on housing from the annual ESRI Integration Report. Haven't seen the one for this year yet, but it suggests that only a very tiny proportion of migrants get social housing, less than 31% ever buy, and they are very likely driving the drop in ownership overall. The last available report suggested migrants from the data set (I think its from the living in Ireland data) suggested levels of ownership between 25-52%. The figure for Irish in same data was 77 ownership, 13% PRS renting and social renting 9.2%. Comparable figures for PRS renting were 65-70% for non EU, and EU East, while ownership in these cohorts was 25-28%. Social rentals for non EU and EU East are barely half Irish level - around 5%. Only UK had similar patterns to Irish in terms of tenure. And yes, absolutely, more than half current homeless figures are non Irish and have been overrepresented for a very long time.
[see https://www.esri.ie/system/files/publications/JR11.pdf pp70]
Hi Laura - sorry for not getting back to you sooner. Thanks for sharing that report!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motte-and-bailey_fallacy
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